The No. McIlroy is coming off a disappointing T-32 finish at the WM Phoenix Open, but that doesnt mean he isnt playing exceptional golf of late. Will Gordonsits in a similar situation in T53 and is also an explosive golfer who has flashed round-of-the-day potential in less stacked fields before. Genesis Invitational Sleepers Wyndham Clark +8000 Odds to Win Clark checks off a lot of boxes when it comes to the key metrics for the week, especially around the green, where he's able to scramble well primarily because of his ability to putt well on poa. Aaron Rai (+225 for a Top 20) Last year this week, Sepp Straka was a Sleeper at +400 for a Top 20. Sleeper pick: Joel Dahmen, +35,000. All new sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Hes been comfortable navigating the redwoods of the PGA TOUR with six paydays in 10 starts, including a career-best T26 at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines where he ranked second in Strokes Gained: Approach-the Green and co-led in par-3 scoring. Going into Round 3, these are the color codes we will be using to identify who we want to target. Hes talked several times before about learning to play in the wind while growing up in blustery Warrnambool, Australia, and he actually prefers a ball flight thats low and that he can work both ways. One hole has him in T41 vs T13 had he made par there. Besides Jon Rahm, no one is hotter than McIlory right now. One of McClure's top one and done picks this week for the Honda Classic is 24-year-old Sungjae Im. If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod Ive been telling yall it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! Shane Lowryis the first Irishman we look to roster heavily as he has a fantastic around-the-green game and is comfortable in the wind. Bradley has enjoyed plenty of past success at this event, including finishing inside the top 11 each of the past two years. Emilliano Grillo has been hot and cold in both rounds he has played so far. A proud graduate of the University of Missouri, John's passion is hockey but he excels at multiple DFS sports. Expert Picks A Change Text Size Written by Staff @PGATOUR How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Garrick Higgo might not be a familiar name to American fans, but the South African has been one of the hottest golfers in the world this spring. Per our model, Rory McIlroy has +179 odds to finish in the Top 5 at this event, making PointsBet's odds a 5-star value. Once again, Im relying heavily on my Fantasy National model. Rahm will want to hang on to the No. For live odds, visit BetMGM. The PGA Tour heads west this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club in Southern California. Then in 2020, a year that also featured windy conditions, Tyrell Hatton won at 4-under. It's expected to be another tough test after Scheffler won last year by one stroke at 5-under par. PGA Tour schedule World Golf Rankings 2023 Farmers Insurance Open props, best bets, odds: Sleepers, head-to-head golf matchup picks from PGA expert Mike McClure studied the Farmers. Pricing may vary. These are the golfers I am gravitating towards, as they could very easily bounce the following day at half the ownership. You never mind a South African when the wind blows, especially a talent for whom his approach game has been his strength of late. The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. Sure. playing a difficult but fair golf course. Emotions are running high in the PGA Tour-LIV Golf battle, and Billy Horschel is a player who . The two-time PGA champion barely cracked. OK, so thats a lot of animals and a tenuous connection to the free-spirited 33-year-old who has set the snail loose on occasion but is unlikely to make an appearance if his owner remains consistent at PGA National, home of, naturally, The Bear Trap, which has revealed a softer underbelly when Hubbard has appeared. And with live golf betting, the action doesnt stop at the book when the action starts on the course. For years, Fowler entered each major with a cloud over his head as the best player to never win a major. After he watched the Masters at home, Im counting on Rickie playing with extra purpose this week. Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesn't mean we can't take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. 12 and Morikawa was No. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a monster 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. Mark Hubbard (+350 for a Top 20) You can go down whatever rabbit hole you find and youre unlikely to surface video of a snail taming a bear, much less a story of an encounter. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. And when I looked at the 2012 leaderboard and saw three Englishmen in the top six (and Rory McIlroy from Northern Ireland winning), this pick began to look really good to me. The wind is going to get significantly stronger as the day goes on, with potential for two scenarios. The players who are most likely to have success this week are the ones who can position themselves well off the tee by working their golf ball in both directions and then scramble well around the greens. Garrick Higgo (+220 for a Top 20) The Honda Classic celebrated its 50th anniversary last year but without a lefty among its list of champions; well, unless you approve Blaine McCallister's putting stroke that set what was then the tournament record of 22-under 266 at TPC Eagle Trace in 1989. The $20 million purse has brought out the best, with major champions like Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth and Matt Fitzpatrick among the many stars. Big whoop. Rory McIlroy has the next best odds to win with a 9.52% implied probability. Sam Horsfield(+200 for a Top 40) When youre talented, youre talented. The entire $6krange in the screenshot above will be going off in the morning after some mediocre golf so far. section: | slug: 2023-arnold-palmer-invitational-picks-predictions-field-odds-golf-expert-fading-justin-thomas-at-bay-hill | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | These are tough to figure out and give most players fits. I just cant imagine anyone having a better chance than Rory this week. Please Gamble Responsibly. Scenario 1 is the AM wave gets the best weather, particularly the guys going . 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks Max Homa +8000 . Hes second on Tour in Strokes Gained: Putting and is one of the best/craftiest players around the greens, too. I still have faith the 20 Masters was the start of it, and it will pick up at the 21 PGA Championship. For a player of his caliber, +8000 is tremendous value. He led the field that week in Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green and both par-3 and par-5 scoring, so the memory bank is rich with positive vibes. Morikawa (21-1) and Thomas (20-1) also are among the top contenders in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field, while Fitzpatrick (28-1) and Spieth (41-1) are among the longshots. The American Express Sleepers Tom Hoge +4000 Odds to Win Hoge is one of the most underrated players on the PGA Tour. Please Gamble Responsibly. One of these golfers will score close to 40 points, giving our lineups a boost and freeing up salary to load up a few more reliable, higher-upside studs at the top of the slate. Collin Morikawa holds the Wanamaker Trophy after winning last year's PGA Championship. , but that doesnt mean he isnt playing exceptional golf of late. ?Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! Hes been comfortable navigating the redwoods of the PGA TOUR with six paydays in 10 starts, including a career-best T26 at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines where he ranked second in Strokes Gained: Approach-the Green and co-led in par-3 scoring. At just 23 years young, hes taken more punches than hes given, but hes made some noise early in what is his second full season on the PGA TOUR. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in. Visit the sportsbook today to place your wagers! This is way down the odds board, but Bezuidenhout has thrived on Bermuda greens and has finished in the top 20 at this event each of the last three years. Scottie Schefflermade a massive move up the leaderboard last year on Saturday and that is validated by the incredible round 3 scoring average which is the 2nd best on the slate. TV Broadcast: GOLFTV. And in the prognostication business, youre only as good as your next pick. (Could also be a sleeper at those odds.). He's not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but he's also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. 23 of the top 25 players in the world will be in the Genesis Invitational field, with Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, and Scottie Scheffler headlining the group. He has the best odds to win at +650. The 26-year-old from England took the title at the Soudal Open in Belgium on Sunday. Weve come a long way with Rickie that hes now considered a long shot. Sleeper pick: Lee Westwood, +11,000. One and Done Selections - The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. at Kiawah in 2012. Kevin Erickson March 4, 2023 8:42 am ET In a lightweight bout on the main card, Mateusz Gamrot takes on Jalin Turner Saturday at UFC 285 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. For more on Chirp, click here. On to the picks. The event will have a major championship-like feel because of the loaded field playing a difficult but fair golf course. His game is trending in the right direction, and Im expecting a good week for the Northern Irishman. This new app will help, Fortinet Championship odds: Two stars lead favorites at PGA Tour season opener, Tour Championship odds: Scottie Scheffler favored to win fifth title of the season, BMW Championship odds: Rory McIlroy still the betting favorite despite missed cut, FedEx St. Jude Championship odds: Rory McIlroy leads betting favorites for playoff opener. He also leads in par-5 scoring, par breakers and scrambling. We're back at The King's place for the second leg of the Florida swing. It's always a high-class field that meets at Bay Hill for the Arnie P, and 2023 - with it's newly-minted elevated status - is no different. As for props, McIlroy has been on fire of late, and Harman came out 14th in my model, providing solid value. 1 ranking for a while, and he has fixed his weaknesses. 1-800-547-6133 (WA). His third at the RSM Classic, at Sea Island, last fall proved hes comfortable on breezy oceanside courses. You can view live odds from the first round through the final round. 2-ranked player in the world didnt finish inside the top 8. Going into the week, Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win, followed by Rory McIlroy (+800). Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. Sometimes these guys need a little tweak in their routine to focus them in. But four paragraphs are all Ill give me and Marksbury. The five-time winner on the Japan Golf Tour is comin in hot. Hes also gone 10 straight events worldwide without finishing lower than T-8. But McDonald knows "inefficiencies in the other aspects of his game" will be tough to overcome at Bay Hill. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. As of Tuesday, its expected to be a windy tournament, especially on Friday, with gusts expected over 30 miles per hour. Hes also 4-for-5 in 2023 with a T29 last week at Riviera where he flashed his game in a microcosm. He won in 2021 and finished in the top 10 two more times in the last three years. To-win: Xander Schauffele, +1,700. If the wind stays home, there are worse bets than Woodland, whos see-sawed a bit of late, but has two top-10s in the past two months. 1-800-547-6133 (WA). Ian McNeill's free PGA betting picks. Aaron Baddeley intrigues me as his short game is really impressive and a few long puts or chip-ins can grab him a bunch of points. Power limped into the clubhouse but has shown he can get hot at any given moment. follow. Sadom Kaewkanjana(+550 for a Top 40) Youre familiar with his fellow countrymen, Jazz Janewattananond and PGA TOUR member Kiradech Aphibarnrat, but this 23-year-old currently is Thailands top talent at 118th in the Official World Golf Ranking. OK, lets continue. Since 2020, hes 3-for-3 with two top 15s and a scoring average of exactly 70. All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements. So, yeah, that counts, but Higgo stays entirely on that side of the ball. In Ontario, if you have questions or concerns about your gambling or someone close to you, please contact ConnexOntario at 1-866-531-2600 to speak to an advisor, free of charge. The two-time PGA champion barely cracked the top 50 that year (T-49) and has stayed away until now. Nick Piastowski is a Senior Editor at Golf.com and Golf Magazine. Each lineup consists. Sleeper pick: Marc Leishman, +7,000. Theres no question Rahm is the hottest player in the field, with three wins on the PGA Tour already this season, including two designated events. Now, McDonald has studied the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. That includes going 2-for-2 in the set last year. That means the best players in the world will be competing for a $20 million purse. He has great course history here which makes a lot of sense in hindsight, but his putter gaining more than 2 strokes in a round, does not make sense. To-win: Patrick Reed, +3,500. While every player in the field can most likely drive the green, it is very small and surrounded by multiple deep bunkers. All three of these golfers provide the upside that can be found in the $10k range, at a price and ownership discount (excluding Cantlay's ownership). The major breakthrough happens this week. That includes going 2-for-2 in the set last year. Probably not! For live odds, visit BetMGM. That means the best players in the world will be competing for a $20 million purse. ). Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. Chirp is a new golf-gaming platform that allows users to place live bets using fake money to win amazing, real-life prizes. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. He's in the top 10 on tour for greens in regulation,. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win. McIlroy said: "If you think of like the four WGC's, you've got the three playoffs events, you've got the CJ Cup, the Zozo. Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU, Congrats @tenndolly2 ?? To-win: Abraham Ancer, +5,500. Expert Picks THE TOUR. McIlroy has had a ton of success at this tournament. This will be even more pronounced in tomorrow's slate, with winds looking to be brutal as the day progresses. Jason Day is playing much better golf lately and now that he has made the cut maybe he can play a little more freely and start rolling in the putts we have seen him make over the last few weeks. How do LIV Golfs TV ratings really compare to the PGA Tour? Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii, and Utah and other states where prohibited. your golf bets? My DFS style is very ownership-centric, and more often than not, this can make you feel like an unsuccessful DFS player, but every now and then when a sneaky, low-owned golfer comes through for you, it is all worth it. Fantasy Golf Picks 2022 Farmers Insurance Open Picks, Predictions, Rankings and Sleepers Pat Mayo breaks down the 2022 Farmers Insurance Open, making his picks and rankings for the event while previewing the course and key stats. Despite its spot on the schedule, the Charles Schwab Challenge is boasting a solid field just a few days after the conclusion of the 104th PGA Championship. After most of the top players did not play in last weeks Honda Classic, they are back this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational from Arnold Palmers Bay Hill Club & Lodge just outside Orlando. It's a smaller PGA Tour field this week, but it's a much larger purse and the field is stacked with stars for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Spaun +19000Harris English +19000Byeong Hun An +20000Justin Suh +21000Patrick Rodgers +21000Taylor Pendrith +21000Joel Dahmen +21000Sam Ryder +21000Taylor Moore +22000Emiliano Grillo +22000Kurt Kitayama +22000Joseph Bramlett +23000Danny Willett +23000Ben Griffin +24000Garrick Higgo +24000Francesco Molinari +25000. A T21 at home followed two weeks later. The 2019 Open Champion has proven he can compete in windy conditions. Lifestyle . 3-ranked player in the world doesnt have a top-25 finish on the PGA Tour yet this calendar year. No time for WM Phoenix Open hangovers, the PGA TOUR continues full throttle to the 2023 Genesis Invitational at iconic Riviera Country Club. He finished T-10 last week at the WM Phoenix Open and T-8 at this event in 2021. There were some concerns about his back after he withdrew from the Sentry Tournament of Champions, but he finished T-3 at The American Express and T-13 at the Farmers Insurance Open. Notice the amount of green AM tee times. The Ocean Course is long, difficult and a windy place to play golf, but its a course that fits Leishman well. My top 10 was: Xander Schauffele, Cantlay, McIlroy, Tony Finau, Shane Lowry, Kim, Hideki Matsuyama, Im, Max Homa and Scottie Scheffler. In his second start of 2022, he prevailed at the SMBC Singapore Open and finished second on the Asian Tours OOM (behind Joohyung (Tom). Hes also 6-for-8 on the PGA TOUR, including a 3-for-4 in the majors.